THIS MONTH’S ISSUE
The New Energy Architecture: That Means Natural Gas
The temporary noise in global energy markets from the Israel/Iran conflict has died down. And it’s just another example why energy investors must take headline-grabbing geopolitics with a big grain of salt, and keep our focus on supply and demand. Over the past month, we’ve sent you two alerts. The first on June 26th concerned a change in the Activity Managed Model Portfolio. We swapped out Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) for faster growth and higher yielding Permian Resources (NYSE: PR). In the second, we highlighted our view that natural gas prices’ late spring/early summer swoon is another great entry point to bet on the long-term energy upcycle, which recently passed its fifth birthday. Our favorite ways to play are the most gas-weighted producers in the Portfolio, EQT Corp (NYSE: EQT) and Expand Energy (NYSE: EXE). This month, we’re taking a higher yielding bet on an oil and gas price recovery in the High Yield Energy Target List, buying royalty producer Dorchester Minerals (NYSE: DMLP). It’s ideal for risk tolerant investors who want rising commodity prices to flow directly into higher quarterly dividends. We’re making these moves now because—negative investor sentiment notwithstanding—underlying supply and demand drivers for oil and gas are...
Live Chat
with Elliott Gue and Roger ConradOn 08/26/2025
Update – Summer Volatility: Oil, Gas and our Top E&P Recommendations
Front-month natural gas prices have endured a significant decline since late June and that’s hit shares of our favorite producers. Meanwhile, there’s been significant market chatter regarding the potential for a big glut in the global oil market by Q4 of this year due primarily to recent OPEC plus decisions to reverse 2.2 million bbl/day of voluntary production cuts. A recent widely distributed Bloomberg article, “Winter is Coming for Oil – And Not in a Positive Way,” further stoked those concerns. So, we decided to issue a detailed update explaining what’s going on in both the oil and gas market...
Hess Corp and Chevron Merge: Our Thoughts
EIA Actively Managed Portfolio recommendation Hess Corp (NYSE: HES) has now officially merged with Chevron Corp (NYSE: CVX). As a result, our 40 shares of Hess are now 41 shares of Chevron, per the merger’s 1.025 CVX/HES exchange ratio. And we rate Chevron a buy at 150 or less going forward. The close follows the long-awaited arbitrator’s decision in a case brought by ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM). Our long-time favorite super major claimed the merger was a “change of control” for Hess’s 30 percent ownership stake in the Stabroek Block off the Guyanese coast of South America. And it asserted a...
Three New Members
Endangered Dividends List companies are vulnerable for one or more of the following reasons: Cash flow coverage of distributions is inadequate. Elevated debt levels with imminent refinancing needs. Revenue pressure triggered by weakness for at least one key asset. Inability to access the equity market on favorable terms to fund capital spending, forcing management to utilize more internally generated cash flow. Exposure to volatility in commodity margins from either rising or falling prices of raw materials. Aggressive general partners anxious to buy in limited partners’ cash flows at discounted prices. Regulatory reversals. Expiring contracts with little hope for renewals at...
Meet Our Editors
Elliott H. Gue
Founder and Chief Analyst
Since earning his bachelor’s and master’s degrees from the University of London, Elliott has dedicated himself to learning the ins and outs of this dynamic sector, scouring trade magazines, attending industry conferences, touring facilities and meeting with management teams.
Roger S. Conrad
Founder and Chief Analyst
Roger S. Conrad has successfully advised income investors since the 1980s, with a nationally acclaimed sector specialty in utilities, telecommunications and energy. He’s a managing partner of Capitalist Times author of Power Hungry, independent director of NYSE-listed Miller Howard High Income Equity Fund and contributing editor to Forbes.com.
